STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
STUMP - Death and Taxes
Looking at Recent Mortality Increases -- and Expectations for the Future
0:00
Current time: 0:00 / Total time: -23:02
-23:02

Looking at Recent Mortality Increases -- and Expectations for the Future

Where will mortality go in 2022 and beyond?

Looking at where the highest relative increases occurred in mortality in 2021 in the U.S. (age 40-44), the causes that drove it (different for different age groups), and thinking about how that may influence future mortality trends.

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.


Related Links

Key graph of relative change in mortality

Gen X Trend:

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Middle-aged Massacre (too!): Increase in Mortality for Ages 40-59 in the U.S. for 2020-2021 Mainly Driven By COVID
Time to start moving up the age groups. As we go up to older ages, the death rates due to COVID increase, and those rates increase faster than any increase in other causes of death by age. We will see that many causes of death did see increases in 2020 and 2021, but they will not be as significant in magnitude as COVID was…
Read more

Millennial Trend:

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Millennial Massacre Part 2: Increase In Mortality for Ages 18-39 for 2020-2021 Mainly Driven by Drug Overdoses and COVID
Since my last post on young adult mortality through the pandemic, the CDC has done a data update, and I have fairly good 2021 data for cause of death. Also, I have decided on an approach for dealing with excess mortality and cause of death. Scroll down to the very end of the post for the very nit-picky nerdy details. The simple version is that I will tak…
Read more

Links to posts on key causes of death and their trends

Suicide

Suicide: Trends, 1968-2020, and Provisional Counts Through June 2021 – this one had only one standalone post, but I’m not done with this topic yet.

Mortality Nuggets: Videos on Suicide Rate Trends, Society of Actuaries Report, and Fixing Their Graph — there are a variety of mortality trends covered in video form here, and suicide rate trends are in the first video.

Homicide

Homicide: Trends, 1968-2020, and Provisional Counts Through June 2021

The Geography of Homicide — States, Base Rates, Increases, and Correlations

Motor vehicle accidents

Motor Vehicle Accident Deaths: High-Level Trends, 1968-2020, Part 1

Motor Vehicle Accident Deaths, Part 2: Age-Related Trends with Provisional Results in 2021

Motor Vehicle Accident Deaths, Part 3: Geographical Differences, 2019 vs 2020

Drug overdose deaths

Drug Overdoses, Part 1: High-Level Trends, 1999-2020

Drug Overdose Deaths, Part 2: U.S. Age-Related Trends 1999-2020 with Provisional Results in 2021

Drug Overdose Deaths, Part 3: Geographical Differences for 2019 and 2020

Alcohol-related deaths

Part 1: Dead is dead: Increased Alcohol-Related Deaths, U.S., 2020-2021

Part 2: Alcohol-related deaths, part 2: Geographical Differences for 2019 and 2020

As a reminder, I have a Mortality with Meep category, if you want to only look at mortality-related posts (I do write about other things, like public finance).

Discussion about this podcast

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
STUMP - Death and Taxes
Meep (Mary Pat Campbell) talks about mortality trends and/or public finance issues, usually with a connection to current events.