STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
STUMP - Death and Taxes
Millennial Massacre Overview
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Millennial Massacre Overview

Why it took me three weeks to get it together
Mary Pat Campbell
Jul 25, 2022
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Main post:

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Millennial Massacre Part 2: Increase In Mortality for Ages 18-39 for 2020-2021 Mainly Driven by Drug Overdoses and COVID
Since my last post on young adult mortality through the pandemic, the CDC has done a data update, and I have fairly good 2021 data for cause of death. Also, I have decided on an approach for dealing with excess mortality and cause of death. Scroll down to the very end of the post for the very nit-picky nerdy details. The simple version is that I will tak…
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2 years ago · 10 likes · Mary Pat Campbell

Twitter thread:

Twitter avatar for @meepbobeep
Mary Pat Campbell @meepbobeep
top results: ~30% of the contribution to excess mortality for young adults in 2021 came from drug ODs %age contribution to excess mortality of drug ODs was not that different by age over 18-39 yrs COVID as a contribution to excess mortality was higher for older people
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5:30 PM ∙ Jul 23, 2022

Interesting responses from others:

Twitter avatar for @john_actuary
John Roberts @john_actuary
I posted yesterday a comparison of recent 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿18-24 mortality compared with recent (and past) US mortality, using @meepbobeep's excellent graphs. I've now added ages up to 40 - the pattern is similar, albeit the disparity lessens slightly at the upper end. 1/
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7:07 PM ∙ Jul 24, 2022
6Retweets

The picture:

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Now Scotland:

Twitter avatar for @danc00ks0n
Dan Cookson @danc00ks0n
@VictimOfMaths @AdeleGroyer @john_actuary @meepbobeep @GoActuary Scotland drug related deaths in 2019 were 234 per million popn. (245 per m in 2020) which is very similar to USA rate. Perhaps explains similarities in life expectancy curves?
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11:09 PM ∙ Jul 24, 2022

Some prior posts on drug overdoses:

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Drug Overdoses, Part 1: High-Level Trends, 1999-2020
Before I begin this last of the nasties (for now), I want to mention that on my substack, I figured out how to do some semblance of organization. I have been able to mark out the mortality-only posts with Mortality with Meep, in case you want to focus only on death…
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3 years ago · 2 likes · Mary Pat Campbell
STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Drug Overdose Deaths, Part 2: U.S. Age-Related Trends 1999-2020 with Provisional Results in 2021
I’m going to put the very ugly stuff up front, so you can look at the details below if you want. From the prior post, I mentioned that drug overdose death rates were increasing before the pandemic already, first at an annual growth rate of about 7.7% per year increase over 1999 – 2014, and then 9.6% per year from 2014 to 2019…
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3 years ago · 3 likes · Mary Pat Campbell
STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Drug Overdose Deaths, Part 3: Geographical Differences for 2019 and 2020
To close out the slice-and-dice on drug overdose trends, I am going to focus on the geographic spread in 2019 and 2020, and what changes occurred by state. Top-level results: 1. Drug ODs have been worst along the Appalachian way, as it were, and the East Coast, with West Virginia being…
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3 years ago · 2 likes · 3 comments · Mary Pat Campbell

Top causes of death:

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Top Causes of Death in U.S. for 2021 by Age Group
Yesterday, CDC updated the provisional 2021 database of death data on WONDER, and there was no longer censored data for 2021. Huzzah! There may still be some small details that get changed before the CDC adds 2021 to the finalized death data set, as there does require review and data cleaning before finalization. Even before COVID, we wouldn’t get finaliz…
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2 years ago · 8 likes · 2 comments · Mary Pat Campbell

GoActuary thread on mortality trends:

https://community.goactuary.com/t/mortality-trends-non-pandemic/1388

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STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
STUMP - Death and Taxes
Meep (Mary Pat Campbell) talks about mortality trends and/or public finance issues, usually with a connection to current events.
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