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I'm guessing the estimate is somehow tied to nursing home populations, and in 2020, no one with other options went into full care nursing facilities.

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No, the numbers really don't tie up -- in that they also have single-age data (I generally don't show that, as it doesn't add much to the analysis).

I may show the problem -- you take the age 84 in year 2020, how many died in 2020, and look at the age 85+ bucket... hmmm, maybe that will be my Sunday post. A "nerding out" post, if you will. ;)

There is something extremely weird going on with the population size estimates.

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