Jul 25 • 27M

Millennial Massacre Overview

Why it took me three weeks to get it together

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Meep (Mary Pat Campbell) talks about mortality trends and/or public finance issues, usually with a connection to current events.
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Main post:

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Millennial Massacre Part 2: Increase In Mortality for Ages 18-39 for 2020-2021 Mainly Driven by Drug Overdoses and COVID
Since my last post on young adult mortality through the pandemic, the CDC has done a data update, and I have fairly good 2021 data for cause of death. Also, I have decided on an approach for dealing with excess mortality and cause of death. Scroll down to the very end of the post for the very nit-picky nerdy details. The simple version is that I will tak…
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Twitter thread:

Interesting responses from others:

The picture:

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Now Scotland:

Some prior posts on drug overdoses:

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Drug Overdoses, Part 1: High-Level Trends, 1999-2020
Before I begin this last of the nasties (for now), I want to mention that on my substack, I figured out how to do some semblance of organization. I have been able to mark out the mortality-only posts with Mortality with Meep, in case you want to focus only on death…
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STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Drug Overdose Deaths, Part 2: U.S. Age-Related Trends 1999-2020 with Provisional Results in 2021
I’m going to put the very ugly stuff up front, so you can look at the details below if you want. From the prior post, I mentioned that drug overdose death rates were increasing before the pandemic already, first at an annual growth rate of about 7.7% per year increase over 1999 – 2014, and then 9.6% per year from 2014 to 2019…
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STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Drug Overdose Deaths, Part 3: Geographical Differences for 2019 and 2020
To close out the slice-and-dice on drug overdose trends, I am going to focus on the geographic spread in 2019 and 2020, and what changes occurred by state. Top-level results: 1. Drug ODs have been worst along the Appalachian way, as it were, and the East Coast, with West Virginia being…
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Top causes of death:

STUMP - Meep on public finance, pensions, mortality and more
Top Causes of Death in U.S. for 2021 by Age Group
Yesterday, CDC updated the provisional 2021 database of death data on WONDER, and there was no longer censored data for 2021. Huzzah! There may still be some small details that get changed before the CDC adds 2021 to the finalized death data set, as there does require review and data cleaning before finalization. Even before COVID, we wouldn’t get finaliz…
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GoActuary thread on mortality trends:

https://community.goactuary.com/t/mortality-trends-non-pandemic/1388